North Carolina (14-4; RPI: 10; KP: 9; BPI: 6)
The Tar Heels have an outstanding computer profile, but they also already have four losses. If they go undefeated the rest of the way—which would include a road win over Louisville, a home win over Virginia and a pair of wins over Duke—then, yes, they'll absolutely be worthy of a No. 1 seed. But that seems unlikely at best.
Another excellent computer profile, but where are the quality wins? The Utes have played extremely well this season—Saturday's blowout loss to Arizona, notwithstanding—but a home win over Wichita State in overtime is their only victory over a surefire NCAA tournament team. Even if they win the rematch with Arizona, a No. 1 seed is a long-shot scenario.
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